Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Egypt

Egypt : Club Of Doom Part 2


Here is a quick take on Egypt. Folks, tak payah fikir panjang.  If you want you can read the entire news report but it is a waste of time.  This is Club of Doom Part 2.

  • Islamist Mohammed Morsi winner in Egypt's first free presidential election in history..
  • Morsi narrowly defeated Shafiq with 51.7 percent of the vote versus 48, by a margin of only 800,000 votes. Turnout was 51 percent.
  • Morsi said on his official web page. "I will not betray God .."

  • still-dominant military rulers who recently stripped the presidency of most of its powers.
  • other power center is the ruling military council that .. is headed by Mubarak's defense minister of 20 years.
  • a court dissolved the freely elected parliament, which is dominated by the Muslim Brotherhood, leaving the military now in charge of legislating.

  • bargaining chip between the generals and the Brotherhood ..power-sharing agreement. 
  • The country's new constitution is not written and the authorities of the president are not clear.


one week ago, the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) 
  • issued constitutional amendments that stripped the president's office of major powers
  • generals made themselves the final arbiters  
  • writing the constitution, legislating, passing the state budget
  • granted military police broad powers to detain civilians.


Well, the Brotherhood fellow has slipped in with just 51% of the vote. But note this - voter turnout was only 51%. Meaning only 25% of voters actually voted for Morsi the Brotherhood guy.  He does NOT have the support of the majority Egyptian voters. Only one out of four people who voted support him. 

The military understands this quite well. Morsi understands this well too. That is why the presidents power has been stripped, the generals are final arbiters, the constitution has not been written, the military will watch over security matters.  Not much change in Egypt folks. They will still be poor.

Morsi says,  "I will not betray God ..".  This is another way of saying "I am God..".  Here is the logic. God does not speak to anyone. So there is no way of Morsi knowing directly from God if he is betraying God or not.  So at the end of the day, it is Morsi who will decide if God likes him or not. Morsi will start speaking on behalf of God.  He will soon start handing out the "keys to paradise" - like ayatollah Khomeini or Nik Aziz.  This is bound to happen - lets give Morsi say two years?

Here is something even more shocking :  "a court dissolved the freely elected parliament, which is dominated by the Muslim Brotherhood, leaving the military now in charge of legislating."

The generals have checkmated the elected Parliament. They got the court to dissolve Parliament. This is ridiculous. This is why we must always make Parliament supreme. Electoral Courts can decide cases involving individual Parliamentary seats but not dissolving the entire Parliament. If there are serious problems just re-do the general elections again. 

The Muslim Brotherhood is going to feel really shortchanged. Not only have they lost the Parliament to the generals but their presidential winner will also be under the power of the generals.

In their Parliamentary elections last year, with its many rounds of voting, the highest turnout was 65% (in some round).  Now, only 51% of voters came out to vote in their presidential elections. This means almost half of Egyptian voters do not have faith in the new system. And Morsi only secured 51% of 51% = 26% of the voters.  

Before democracy can succeed, the people must have a certain minimum level of civilisation and inteligence. There must be respect for the written Law as well as respect for written agreements. In the Club of Doom countries, the general populace still has not learned to respect the Law or respect written agreements. Hence there is chaos.

If you want to cause chaos, just disregard the Law and written agreements. Just disregard civilised conduct.   This is what the  Bapak Rasuah Malaysia, Pencipta Politik Wang and Tokoh Liwat Negara is trying his best to do here.  

Or you can become God. You can say, "God told me that I should not accept this.." Or "I cannot betray God's laws.."  That always works with the less intelligent. (Ehsan OutSide the Box by Syed Akbar Ali

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